[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 20 09:40:25 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 201440
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.6N  70.3W      36  1  X  X 37   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3
27.5N  69.4W      16  3  2  2 23   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  5  6
27.0N  69.0W      11  5  3  2 21   MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  3  6 10
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  3  3   MYMM 224N 730W     X  1  3  6 10
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  2  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  3  5  8
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  4  4   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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