[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 20 09:40:25 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 201440
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT THU SEP 23 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.6N 70.3W 36 1 X X 37 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 3 3
27.5N 69.4W 16 3 2 2 23 MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 5 6
27.0N 69.0W 11 5 3 2 21 MBJT 215N 712W X 1 3 6 10
MDSD 185N 697W X X X 3 3 MYMM 224N 730W X 1 3 6 10
MDCB 176N 714W X X X 2 2 MYSM 241N 745W X X 3 5 8
MTPP 186N 724W X X X 4 4 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4
MTCA 183N 738W X X X 2 2 BERMUDA X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
C FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
D FROM 8AM WED TO 8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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