[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 200833
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 20 2004

...KARL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1055
MILES...1700 KM... EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH...15 KM/HR.  A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KARL IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...BUT COULD RESTRENGTHEN TO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N... 45.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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