[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 192040
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.7N  71.2W      33  X  1  X 34   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  5  6
27.3N  70.2W      11  8  2  2 23   MBJT 215N 712W     X  1  4  5 10
27.2N  69.1W       2  8  5  4 19   MYMM 224N 730W     X  1  2  4  7
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  4  5
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  4  4   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  2  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2
TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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