[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 191430
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.5N  71.5W      34  X  1  X 35   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  2  3
27.5N  70.5W      16  6  1  1 24   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
27.5N  70.0W      11  8  2  1 22   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  3  3   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  5  6   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W    79  X  X  X 79   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYSM 241N 745W    22  X  X  1 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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