[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 190840
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  42.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.7N  45.7W      50  X  X  X 50   20.0N  48.5W       7 21  1  X 29
18.7N  47.4W      30  6  X  1 37

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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