[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 190839
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.5N  72.2W      43  X  X  X 43   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
27.0N  71.7W      14 10  1  1 26   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
28.0N  70.5W       X 13  4  2 19   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     1  X  X  4  5   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W    99  X  X  X 99   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  3  4
MYSM 241N 745W    15  X  X  1 16   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  3  4
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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