[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 190235
SPFAT2
HURRICANE KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.4N  44.8W      47  X  X  X 47   19.3N  48.1W       2 24  1  1 28
18.2N  46.7W      24 10  X  X 34

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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