[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 180249
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON SEP 20 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.2N  73.5W      56  X  X  X 56   MIAMI FL           X  X  1  2  3
24.3N  73.9W      20 18  X  X 38   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  4  5
26.3N  74.0W       X 22  6  1 29   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  4  5
MUGM 200N 751W    12  1  X  X 13   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  4  4
MDPP 198N 707W     1  1  X  X  2   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3
MBJT 215N 712W    38  X  X  X 38   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W    52  X  X  X 52   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W    20 18  X  X 38   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W    10 16  1  X 27   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W     X  6  4  1 11   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  6  6  2 14   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  5  5 10   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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