[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 172049
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND HAITI IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS
...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.8 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND ABOUT  100 MILES... 160
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JEANNE MOVES OVER WATER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING ALONG THE COAST
OF HISPANIOLA.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO
RICE.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...20.2 N... 71.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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