[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 171800
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.6 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA NEAR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER AND ABOUT IS ABOUT  95 MILES... 150 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR  50 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  JEANNE HAS WEAKENED WHILE OVER HISPANIOLA...BUT
COULD STRENGTHEN AGAIN OVER WATER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
HISPANIOLA IN THE WARNED AREA.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...20.1 N... 71.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1002 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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