[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 171441
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.2 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR
SANTIAGO AND IS ABOUT  140 MILES... 225 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND TURK
ISLAND.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JEANNE HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED OVER LAND...BUT
COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER AND TOWARD THE BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA IN THE WARNED AREA.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.5 N... 71.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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