[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 170830
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  35.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON SEP 20 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.2N  38.8W      47  X  X  X 47   13.7N  42.2W       2 22  2  1 27
12.8N  40.6W      26  8  X  X 34

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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