[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 170541
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

...JEANNE HUGGING THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...
MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z....THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST...ON THE
NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC IN THE VICINITY OF CABO
FRANCES VIEJO AND ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE HAS BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS
BUT IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH
...9 KM/HR...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...
WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY. JEAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN
HURRICANE STRENGTH AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER. THERE HAS BEEN SEVERAL REPORTS OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA...AND GRAND TURK
RECENTLY REPORTED WINDS OF 40 MPH...65 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  A
RAINBAND TRAILING JEANNE IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
OF PUERTO RICO AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...OVER
PORTIONS OF THAT ISLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...19.4 N... 69.9 W.  MOVEMENT
DRIFTING WESTWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA

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