[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 15 15:33:59 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 152033
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 15 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SAT SEP 18 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.7N 69.2W 45 X X X 45 MYMM 224N 730W X 13 9 3 25
20.6N 70.9W 19 12 1 X 32 MYSM 241N 745W X 1 12 7 20
21.6N 72.4W 1 21 3 1 26 MYEG 235N 758W X X 8 9 17
TIST 183N 650W 16 X X X 16 MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 11 12
TJPS 180N 666W 99 X X X 99 MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 11 12
MDSD 185N 697W 30 X 1 X 31 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 8 8
MDCB 176N 714W 5 5 1 1 12 ST THOMAS VI 16 X X X 16
MTPP 186N 724W 3 10 1 2 16 SAN JUAN PR 99 X X X 99
MTCA 183N 738W X 3 4 3 10 PONCE PR 99 X X X 99
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 MIAMI FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X 2 7 4 13 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 6 7 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
TJSJ 184N 661W 99 X X X 99 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MDPP 198N 707W 26 5 X X 31 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W 7 21 1 1 30
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
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