[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WWCA31 TJSJ 151627 CCA
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-151930-

BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1219 PM AST WED SEP 15 2004

...JEANNE APPROACHING PUERTO RICO...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO...
INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND MONA ISLAND.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX...ST THOMAS...ST
JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN 24
HOURS OR LESS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX...ST THOMAS...
ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AND
FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX...ST
THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...FOR VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
AND FOR THE EAST THROUGH SOUTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...FROM FAJARDO
SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH SALINAS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST CROIX...ST THOMAS...ST
JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...FOR VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND FOR
THE NORTH...EAST AND SOUTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF PUERTO
RICO.

SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

SMALL CRAFT IN PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN VIGILANT
AND KEEP UPDATED ON THE LATEST STORM INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS AS
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. IF YOU LIVE
IN AN AREA PRONE TO COASTAL...FLASH OR RIVER FLOODING...YOU SHOULD
HAVE ALREADY MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND AND SHOULD BE INSIDE A SAFE
DWELLING. IF YOU ARE ALREADY INSIDE A SAFE AND STURDY SHELTER...YOU
SHOULD REMAIN THERE UNTIL THE STORM HAS MOVED WELL PAST THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.

...STORM UPDATE...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 60 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF PONCE...30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VIEQUES...45 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CULEBRA...50 MILES WEST OF ST CROIX AND 70 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS.

JEANNE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OVER PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRONGER WINDS...POSSIBLY SUSTAINED AT HURRICANE FORCE...ARE LIKELY
OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE
REACHING PUERTO RICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA...THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WILL ENTER THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
PUERTO RICO NEAR MAUNABO AND YABUCOA BETWEEN 1230 PM AND 1 PM...THEN
CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS CENTRAL PUERTO RICO...EXITING PUERTO
RICO NEAR AGUADILLA AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT. YOU ARE URGED NOT TO
FOLLOW THE EXACT CENTER OF THE STORM AS JEANNE IS NOT A POINT AND
ITS EFFECTS WILL EXTEND OUT OVER 60 MILES FROM ITS CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WITH BRIEF GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE
POSSIBLE...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ST CROIX THROUGH AT LEAST
3 PM THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE JEANNE MOVES FAR ENOUGH AWAY TO LESSEN
ITS EFFECT OVER THE ISLAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND
OVER ELEVATIONS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ST THOMAS...ST
JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 70 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH MUCH OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL CONTINUE GRADUALLY SPREADING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF PUERTO RICO DURING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS
THE EAST HALF OF PUERTO RICO LATER THIS EVENING AND THE REST OF
PUERTO RICO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
COASTAL SEAS...SURF...AND TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS ALL
OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS AND PASSAGES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SEAS
LIKELY REACHING 8 TO 13 FEET OR HIGHER AS JEANNE PASSES. BUILDING
SURF AND TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL AFFECT PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT. IN
ADDITION...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...SHOULD BE
EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO...NEAR AND TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ALL LOCAL MARINERS ARE REMINDED TO BE SMART...FOR YOU AND YOUR LOVED
ONES...NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
ABOARD YOUR VESSEL!

...RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
THE NORTH...EAST...SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO BUILDING WAVE ACTION AND
STRONG STORM FORCE WINDS. ALL SURFERS AND SWIMMERS SHOULD STAY OUT
OF THE WATER UNTIL AFTER JEANNE HAS PASSED.

...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
INTENSE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND THE EASTERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF
PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND MOST OF PUERTO RICO
THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
PROBABLE. THIS TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
DANGEROUS MUDSLIDES AND LANDSLIDES ARE LIKELY OVER AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.

THE FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS ST CROIX...ST
THOMAS...ST JOHN  AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND
ALL OF PUERTO RICO IS VERY SIGNIFICANT. THIS IS A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM
WHICH HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...SIMILAR TO
HURRICANE HORTENSE IN 1996...WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS
RECEIVING 15 TO 20 INCHES OR MORE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JEANNE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.

...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).

        HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 330 PM.

SEELEY




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