[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 151552
HLSLIX
LAZ038-040-046>050-056>070-MSZ080>082-152000-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1100 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2004

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN IN THE NORTHERN GULF
   OF MEXICO APPROACHING THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
   INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA EXTENDING EAST
   ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...
...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
   SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
   INCLUDING THE BATON ROUGE AREA...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
   MOST OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY INTENDED FOR THE RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES IN LOUISIANA...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...
EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE...JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...LIVINGSTON...
ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JAMES...ST JOHN
THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE...WEST BATON
ROUGE.

AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK...HARRISON...
JACKSON.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI GULF
COAST AND ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST FROM GRAND ISLE EASTWARD
INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS
AREA AND THE CITIES OF BILOXI AND GULFPORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM WEST OF GRAND ISLE WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER BATON ROUGE AREA AND THE
PARISHES AROUND LAKE MAUREPAS.

...STORM INFORMATION SUMMARY...
AT 10 AM CDT...HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED AT 27.3 NORTH AND
88.0 WEST...ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT OR 235 MILES
SOUTH OF MOBILE ALABAMA. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AT
13 MILES AN HOUR.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IVAN IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST DURING THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MILES AN HOUR WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IVAN REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE.
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS
A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEVERAL PARISHES HAVE ISSUED EVACUATION ORDERS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
INCLUDING ORLEANS...JEFFERSON...ST BERNARD...PLAQUEMINES AND ST
CHARLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR EVACUATION ORDERS
FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY AGENCIES.

IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...LOCAL GOVERNMENTS IN HARRISON...HANCOCK AND
JACKSON COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN MANY COASTAL
AND LOW LYING AREAS. PLEASE LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA AND CONSULT
LOCAL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24
HOURS. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AND
ALL OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR
THE LIKELIHOOD OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS.

PERSONS IN MOBILE HOMES SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER IN A STURDY
BUILDING. ALL OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE AND BE BLOWN
ABOUT BY THE WIND SHOULD BE SECURED. RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW
EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL AND STATE GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY ARE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. TIDES
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND RAPIDLY INCREASE
TONIGHT AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES THE COAST.

EXTREME STORM SURGE VALUES OF 10 TO 16 FEET AND LOCALLY HIGHER...
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST
OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER SURGES MAY
RESULT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST. SOMEWHAT LOWER
STORM SURGES WILL OCCUR TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL.

...WIND IMPACTS....
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVER COASTAL
AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WINDS...WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
HIGHER...ARE SPREADING INTO THE COASTAL AREAS AND THEN SPREAD INLAND
IN THE AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...WINDS IN EXCESS 74 MPH...
WILL OVERSPREAD COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IVAN...HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SUCH
AS PLAQUEMINES PARISH...EASTERN EDGES OF THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVEING.

...HEAVY RAINFALL...
THE EYEWALL OF IVAN IS NOW BEING DETECTED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SLIDELL. HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IVAN WILL SPREAD
INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND
10 TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. RIVER FLOODING
MAY DEVELOP FROM THE HEAVY RAIN.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AS HURRICANE IVAN
APPROACHES THE COAST. THE MOSTLY LIKELY THREAT WILL BE ALONG
THE MISSISSIPPI COAST AND COASTAL AREAS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF NEW
ORLEASN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 200 PM TODAY.

$$

18/21
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