[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 15 09:38:59 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 151438
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT SEP 18 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.2N  68.6W      45  X  X  X 45   MYMM 224N 730W     X  7 14  3 24
20.2N  70.4W      16 17  X  1 34   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X 10 10 20
21.1N  71.9W       1 21  4  1 27   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  5 12 17
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 12 12
TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 12 12
TJPS 180N 666W    99  X  X  X 99   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  8  8
MDSD 185N 697W    29  2  X  X 31   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
MDCB 176N 714W     3  8  1  2 14   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
MTPP 186N 724W     1 10  3  2 16   SAN JUAN PR       99  X  X  X 99
MTCA 183N 738W     X  2  4  5 11   PONCE PR          99  X  X  X 99
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  3  3   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  6  7 13   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  7  7   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  2  2   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
TJSJ 184N 661W    99  X  X  X 99   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W    14 16  1  X 31   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     1 25  3  X 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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