[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 15 09:38:59 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 151438
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SAT SEP 18 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.2N 68.6W 45 X X X 45 MYMM 224N 730W X 7 14 3 24
20.2N 70.4W 16 17 X 1 34 MYSM 241N 745W X X 10 10 20
21.1N 71.9W 1 21 4 1 27 MYEG 235N 758W X X 5 12 17
TISX 177N 648W 99 X X X 99 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 12 12
TIST 183N 650W 99 X X X 99 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 12 12
TJPS 180N 666W 99 X X X 99 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 8 8
MDSD 185N 697W 29 2 X X 31 ST CROIX VI 99 X X X 99
MDCB 176N 714W 3 8 1 2 14 ST THOMAS VI 99 X X X 99
MTPP 186N 724W 1 10 3 2 16 SAN JUAN PR 99 X X X 99
MTCA 183N 738W X 2 4 5 11 PONCE PR 99 X X X 99
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 3 3 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 MIAMI FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X X 6 7 13 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 7 7 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
TJSJ 184N 661W 99 X X X 99 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MDPP 198N 707W 14 16 1 X 31 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W 1 25 3 X 29
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
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