[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 151208
HLSLIX
LAZ038-040-046>050-056>070-MSZ080>082-151600-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
700 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2004

...TIME IS RUNNING OUT FOR LAST MINUTE EVACUATIONS...
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN IN THE NORTHERN GULF
   OF MEXICO APPROACHING THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
...HURRICANE IVAN EXPECT TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD TODAY...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
   INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA EXTENDING EAST
   ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...
...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
   SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
   INCLUDING THE BATON ROUGE AREA...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
   MOST OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY INTENDED FOR THE RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES IN LOUISIANA...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...
EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE...JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...LIVINGSTON...
ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JAMES...ST JOHN
THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE...WEST BATON
ROUGE.

AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK...HARRISON...
JACKSON.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI GULF
COAST AND ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST TO GRAND ISLE INCLUDING LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA AND THE
CITIES OF BILOXI AND GULFPORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM GRAND ISLE WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER BATON ROUGE AREA AND THE
PARISHES AROUND LAKE MAUREPAS.

...STORM INFORMATION SUMMARY...
AT 7 AM CDT...HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED AT 26.7 NORTH AND
87.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST
AT 12 MILES AN HOUR AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
TODAY. JUST WHEN THIS TURN HAPPENS WILL HAVE CRITICAL IMPORTANCE FOR
ALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MILES AN HOUR WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IVAN REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE.
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS
A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEVERAL PARISHES HAVE ISSUED EVACUATION ORDERS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
INCLUDING ORLEANS...JEFFERSON...ST BERNARD...PLAQUEMINES AND ST
CHARLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR EVACUATION ORDERS
FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY AGENCIES.

IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...LOCAL GOVERNMENTS IN HARRISON...HANCOCK AND
JACKSON COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN MANY COASTAL
AND LOW LYING AREAS. PLEASE LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA AND CONSULT
LOCAL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24
HOURS. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AND
ALL OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR
THE LIKELIHOOD OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS.

PERSONS IN MOBILE HOMES SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER IN A STURDY
BUILDING. PERSONS RESIDING NEAR THE COAST SHOULD MOVE INLAND. ALL
OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE AND BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND SHOULD BE SECURED. RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW EVACUATION
RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL AND STATE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY ARE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. DUE TO THE
LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IVAN...TIDES WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE
HURRICANE. SOME TIDAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

EXTREME STORM SURGE VALUES OF 10 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
MAY OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL.
SOME LOCALLY HIGHER SURGES MAY RESULT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST.

...WIND IMPACTS....
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVER COASTAL
AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WINDS...WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
HIGHER...WILL SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS DURING THE MORNING AND
THEN SPREAD INLAND BY AFTERNOON. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF
HURRICANE IVAN...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SUCH AS PLAQUEMINES PARISH AND COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.

...HEAVY RAINFALL...
THE OUTER EYE WALL OF IVAN IS NOW BEING DETECTED ABOUT 275 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SLIDELL. THE RADAR IS SHOWING THE LEADING EDGE OF
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH IVAN APPROACHING THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IVAN WILL SPREAD INLAND
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND 10 TO 15
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. RIVER FLOODING MAY
DEVELOP LATER THIS WEEK FROM THE HEAVY RAIN.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AS HURRICANE IVAN
APPROACHES THE COAST.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 AM TODAY.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net