[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 151143
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004

...JEANNE NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS RAINBANDS REACH EASTERN
PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO AFFECTING OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE
65.4 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES... 115 KM... SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER
PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
ELEVATED TERRAIN.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE PASSING OVER
PUERTO RICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...17.6 N... 65.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN


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