[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 150852
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT SEP 18 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.1N  68.2W      45  X  X  X 45   MBJT 215N 712W     X 22  4  2 28
20.0N  69.9W      19 14  X  X 33   MYMM 224N 730W     X  4 14  5 23
20.8N  71.3W       1 22  3  1 27   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  6 12 18
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  2 13 15
TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 10 10
TJPS 180N 666W    69  X  X  X 69   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 10 10
MDSD 185N 697W    24  4  X  1 29   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6
MDCB 176N 714W     2  7  3  2 14   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
MTPP 186N 724W     X  8  5  3 16   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
MTCA 183N 738W     X  1  4  6 11   SAN JUAN PR       79  X  X  X 79
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  2  2   PONCE PR          69  X  X  X 69
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  4  8 12   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  6  6   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  3  3
TJSJ 184N 661W    79  X  X  X 79   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W     8 19  1  1 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN


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