[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 150244
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.6N  67.1W      44  X  X  X 44   TJSJ 184N 661W    56  X  X  X 56
19.6N  68.8W      18 13  X  1 32   MDPP 198N 707W     1 18  3  2 24
20.5N  70.3W       1 21  3  2 27   MBJT 215N 712W     X 11 11  3 25
TKPK 173N 627W     4  X  X  X  4   MYMM 224N 730W     X  1 12  7 20
TNCM 181N 631W    33  X  X  1 34   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  3 12 15
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1 10 11
TIST 183N 650W    69  X  X  X 69   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5
TJPS 180N 666W    49  X  X  X 49   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5
MDSD 185N 697W    10 11  1  1 23   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MDCB 176N 714W     X  5  3  4 12   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
MTPP 186N 724W     X  3  6  5 14   ST THOMAS VI      69  X  X  X 69
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  2  7  9   SAN JUAN PR       56  X  X  X 56
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  2  8 10   PONCE PR          49  X  X  X 49
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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