[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 142032
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.1N  67.0W      46  X  X  X 46   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  2  9 11
18.9N  68.6W      21 11  X  X 32   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4
19.7N  70.0W       1 23  2  1 27   TJSJ 184N 661W    52  X  X  X 52
80400 157N 636W   99  X  X  X 99   MDPP 198N 707W     X 17  6  2 25
TKPK 173N 627W    99  X  X  X 99   MBJT 215N 712W     X  5 14  4 23
TNCM 181N 631W    44  X  X  X 44   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  9 10 19
TISX 177N 648W    80  X  X  X 80   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1 12 13
TIST 183N 650W    59  X  X  X 59   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X 10 10
TJPS 180N 666W    51  X  X  X 51   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5
MDSD 185N 697W     7 18  1  1 27   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
MDCB 176N 714W     X  9  4  4 17   ST CROIX VI       80  X  X  X 80
MTPP 186N 724W     X  4  8  5 17   ST THOMAS VI      59  X  X  X 59
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  5  7 12   SAN JUAN PR       52  X  X  X 52
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  2  2   PONCE PR          51  X  X  X 51

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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