[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WWCA31 TJSJ 141627
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-141900-

BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1227 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM JEANNE...

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS....AND FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...FOR VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND FOR THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO FROM FAJARDO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
THROUGH SALINAS.

SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO
SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION ACROSS PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

...STORM UPDATE...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX...155 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST JOHN...160 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VIEQUES...180 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CULEBRA OR ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN.

JEANNE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND A GENERAL MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE TROPICAL STORM JEANNE THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JEANNE IS FORECAST TO PASS IN THE VICINITY OF ST CROIX AROUND 8 PM
THIS EVENING...THEN PASS IN THE VICINITY OF VIEQUES AROUND 2 AM
WEDNESDAY...REACHING THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO BY AROUND 5
AM AND THEN TO A POSITION NEAR SAN JUAN AROUND 8 AM WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS ST CROIX THIS AFTERNOON...
REACHING 20 TO 30 MPH BY SUNSET AND THEN INCREASING FURTHER TO
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE BEYOND MIDNIGHT. OVER
ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT SMALLER ISLANDS...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASE
FURTHER TO 25 TO 45 MPH TONIGHT...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS AND SQUALLS AND OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS VIEQUES THEN SPREAD WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS CULEBRA
AND PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED ACROSS VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BY 10 PM
TONIGHT...SPREADING ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN INTO SAN JUAN BY AROUND 2 AM WEDNESDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
COASTAL SEAS...SURF...AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE
ANEGADA PASSAGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH SEAS LIKELY REACHING 8 TO
12 FEET AS JEANNE PASSES. BUILDING SURF AND TIDES OF 1 FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL WILL AFFECT THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT
AND THEN SPREAD TO SOUTHEAST...EAST...AND NORTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO
RICO TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. MARINERS ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO
RICO SHOULD STORM PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION.

...RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
THIS EVENING...AND ACROSS NORTHEAST...EAST AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF
PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO BUILDING WAVE ACTION AND
STRONG STORM FORCE WINDS. PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE WATER
DURING THE PASSAGE OF JEANNE.

...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND AT LEAST
THE EAST HALF OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BECOME
MORE FREQUENT AND MORE INTENSE THIS EVENING...AND THEN CONTINUE TO
SHIFT NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND MOST OF PUERTO RICO BEGINNING THIS
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THE PROBABILITY OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING AND OR
RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH AS THE TROPICAL STORM MOVES TOWARD
AND THEN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...
MUDSLIDES ARE PROBABLE OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JEANNE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.

...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).

        HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO WILL BE ISSUED BY 3
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

SEELEY/STRIPLING
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