[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 141445
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.3N  66.3W      57  X  X  X 57   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  7  9 16
19.2N  68.0W       6 35  X  1 42   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  1  8  9
20.0N  69.5W       X 21 11  X 32   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  8  8
80400 157N 636W   99  X  X  X 99   TJSJ 184N 661W    61  X  X  X 61
TFFR 163N 615W    15  X  X  X 15   MDPP 198N 707W     X  4 20  2 26
TAPA 171N 618W    88  X  X  X 88   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X 17  7 24
TKPK 173N 627W    99  X  X  X 99   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2 15 17
TNCM 181N 631W    73  X  X  X 73   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  9  9
TISX 177N 648W    85  X  X  X 85   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  6  6
TIST 183N 650W    72  X  X  X 72   ST CROIX VI       85  X  X  X 85
TJPS 180N 666W    54  X  X  X 54   ST THOMAS VI      72  X  X  X 72
MDSD 185N 697W     X 20  7  1 28   SAN JUAN PR       61  X  X  X 61
MDCB 176N 714W     X  1 10  5 16   PONCE PR          54  X  X  X 54

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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