[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KEYW 130016
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-130330-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...HURRICANE IVAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
830 PM EDT SUN SEP 12 2004

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS AND THE
DRY TORTUGAS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY. MONROE COUNTY OFFICES
WILL BE CLOSED THROUGH TUESDAY. COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS ARE STILL MAINTAINING A MANDATORY EVACUATION DUE TO THE
THREAT OF HURRICANE IVAN AND NOT RECOMMENDING RE-ENTRY INTO THE KEYS
UNTIL THE THREAT HAS BEEN MINIMIZED. THE MONROE COUNTY INFORMATION
HOT-LINE HAS THE LATEST INFORMATION. THEY MAY BE REACHED AT 1
800...9 5 5...5 5 0 4. THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS
CLOSED TO COMMERCIAL TRAFFIC AT THIS TIME. GREYHOUND BUS LINES
SERVICE IS STILL SUSPENDED. FOR UPDATES AND DETAILS ON GREYHOUND BUS
SERVICE...CALL 1 800...2 3 1...2 2 2 2.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 210 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THIS IS ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH
OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES IVAN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT. THE CENTER OF IVAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE WESTERN END OF CUBA MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 915 MB...OR 27.02 INCHES OF
MERCURY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MILES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE LOWER KEYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS ARE FROM
THE EAST NEAR 20 MILES PER HOUR. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
25 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH TOMORROW. BY MONDAY
NIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 30 MILES PER HOUR...WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS AND DRY TORTUGAS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED IN THE KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE
OF HURRICANE IVAN. HOWEVER...HIGH TIDES IN THE LOWER KEYS COULD RUN
ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THE NEXT
HIGH TIDES IN KEY WEST HARBOR WILL OCCUR AT 1005 PM TONIGHT AND 949
AM MONDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY THAT HURRICANE IVAN WILL PASS WITHIN 75 MILES OF
KEY WEST IS TWELVE PERCENT.

 ...MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO SEVEN TO TEN FEET OUTSIDE THE REEF AND
TWO TO FOUR FEET INSIDE THE REEF BY TOMORROW EVENING. MARINERS
SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS UNTIL THE HURRICANE IVAN THREAT HAS PASSED.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT CONCERNING HURRICANE IVAN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
1130 PM.

$$

DEVANAS/SD






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