[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 090231
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 08 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT SEP 11 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.9N  73.4W      47  X  X  X 47   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  3  4
17.4N  75.6W       4 29  X  X 33   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  3  7 10
18.6N  77.5W       X 17  8  1 26   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2 10 12
MDCB 176N 714W    20  1  X  X 21   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  8  9
MTPP 186N 724W     8 10  X  1 19   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W     9 20  X  X 29   MARATHON FL        X  X  X 12 12
MKJP 179N 768W     X 25  3  X 28   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  9  9
MKJS 185N 779W     X 13 11  1 25   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  6 10 16   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X 16  5  1 22   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  1 15  5 21   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  5 13 18   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  8  8
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1 13 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  6  6
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 13 13   VENICE FL          X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  6  6   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  2  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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