[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT34 KNHC 072055
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 07 2004

...EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN JUST MOVED OVER GRENADA...HEADING
FOR THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR  ST. VINCENT...THE
GRENADINES...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR TOBAGO HAS BEEN
DONGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...MARTINIQUE...
AND ST. LUCIA...TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR BONAIRE...
CURACAO AND ARUBA.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z..THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVAN.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35
KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GRENADA.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH ...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IVAN IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 MPH...195
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.  GRENADA REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 93 MPH...150
KM/HR WHEN THE EYE WAS APPROACHING ABOUT ONE HOUR AGO.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 956
MB...28.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER PASSES THROUGH THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES...CAN BE EXPECTED AS IVAN PASSES THROUGH THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.0 N... 62.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA

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