[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 061212
SPFAT4
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16...RETRANSMITTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 06 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU SEP  9 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.3N  57.5W      49  1  X  X 50   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  7  7 14
13.2N  60.7W       1 33  X  1 35   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  6 13 19
14.3N  63.5W       X  5 21  X 26   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  3 14 17
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  X  2  2   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  1 18 19
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  5  5   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 18 18
SVMG 110N 640W     X  1  6  1  8   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X 15 15
TTPP 106N 614W     X  8  2  X 10   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 12 12
TTPT 112N 608W     1 17  1  X 19   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  7  7
TGPY 120N 618W     X 19  3  X 22   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W    10 30  X  X 40   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1 17 18
TVSV 131N 612W     X 30  2  X 32   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X 13 13
TLPL 138N 610W     X 32  1  X 33   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  6  6
TFFF 146N 610W     X 27  4  X 31   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X 17 10  X 27   ST CROIX VI        X  X  6 13 19
80400 157N 636W    X  1 21  3 25   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  3 14 17
TFFR 163N 615W     X  6 14  1 21   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1 17 18
TAPA 171N 618W     X  2 13  2 17   PONCE PR           X  X  1 18 19
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X 13  5 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net