[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMLB 061001
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
061615-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
555 AM EDT MON SEP 6 2004

...THE CENTER OF FRANCES NOW OUT OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY FROM EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DROPPED FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING DROPPED FOR OSCEOLA AND
OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FROM COCOA BEACH NORTH TO
FLAGLER BEACH WHICH INCLUDES VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTIES...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR LAKE...ORANGE...
SEMINOLE...INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET WHICH
INCLUDES MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...AND SOUTH BREVARD
COUNTIES...

...FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 115 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA.

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AWAY FROM EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 MPH NEAR THE CORE...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TO REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE MAKING ITS SECOND LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. PERSONS WHO EVACUATED OUT OF THE AREA
SHOULD BE INFORMED AS TO THE LATEST HAZARD SITUATION WITH FRANCES
RELATIVE TO THEIR CURRENT LOCATION...THEIR INTENDED RETURN
ROUTE AND DESTINATION...AND LATEST RECOMMENDATIONS FOR ACCESSING
LOCAL BARRIER ISLANDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO OBEY LOCAL OFFICIALS WHILE BEING A GOOD
CITIZEN...FRIEND...AND NEIGHBOR...AS RECOVERY MODE ENTERS FULL SWING.
FOR THOSE WITHOUT POWER...BE EXTRA CAREFUL. IF USING A GENERATOR...
PLACE IT IN A WELL VENTILATED LOCATION. DO NOT RUN A GENERATOR INSIDE
YOUR HOME OR WITHIN YOUR ATTACHED GARAGE. ALSO...SOME CITY UTILITY
OFFICIALS HAVE IMPOSED ORDERS FOR BOILING WATER FOR HEALTH AND
SANITATION PURPOSES. AS CLEAN UP AND DAMAGE ASSESSMENT EFFORTS
CONTINUE...TAKE CARE TO AVOID DOWNED ELECTRICAL WIRES. BE CAUTIOUS
WHEN USING CHAINSAWS AND AXES. IF YOU MUST GO UP ON YOUR ROOF...BE
AWARE THAT SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL IN THE FORECAST. DO
NOT SLIP AND FALL...AND BEWARE THE DANGERS OF LIGHTNING. IN
GENERAL...PLEASE CONSIDER THE LESSONS LEARNED FROM RECENT HURRICANE
CHARLEY AS SEVERAL FLORIDIANS STILL DIED OR WERE INJURED AFTER THE
STORM.

...WIND IMPACTS...
FOR THIS LABOR DAY...THE MAIN CONCERN IS FOR OCCASIONAL WINDY AND
RAINY CONDITIONS AS BACKSIDE RAINBANDS PASS OVER THE AREA...
ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA BEACH. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 15 TO 25 MPH...AND A LITTLE HIGHER OVER INTERIOR
SECTIONS TO 35 MPH. GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO COMPLETELY EXIT THE AREA
AS CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVE BY LATER TODAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST
TODAY. THEY WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS
AT THE BEACHES. ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE. FOR CURIOUS BEACH GOERS...ACCESS TO
THE BEACHES WILL LIKELY BE RESTRICTED IN MANY PLACES.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
FOR TODAY. DOPPLER RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE 8 TO 10 INCHES
OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN NEAR VER0 BEACH AND ACROSS THE INTERSTATE
4 CORRIDOR IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. THE RAINFALL EVENT FROM FRANCES IS NOT
YET OVER AS WIDESPREAD STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
WITH ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS TODAY. LOCALIZED EVENT AMOUNTS OF 16 TO 18
INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS BACKSIDE RAINBANDS PASS OVER. SHORT
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR RECOVERY WORK
UNTIL FRANCES TOTALLY EXITS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH THE PROBABILITY OF
PRECIPITATION IS HIGH TODAY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...EXCESSIVE
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOCALIZED...UP TO 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES.

ALSO...SIGNIFICANT LOCAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AND FLOODING ON THE
SAINT JOHNS RIVER AND CENTRAL FLORIDA LAKES WILL FOLLOW IN THE DAYS
TO COME.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LANDFALLING WATERSPOUTS REMAIN POSSIBLE.
ENHANCED RAINBANDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL POSE THE GREATEST
THREAT. CURRENTLY...THE TORNADO THREAT IS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND
WEST PARTS OF THE STATE. IMPORTANTLY...THE LOCAL ATMOSPHERE WILL BE
CLOSELY EXAMINED FOR THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO POTENTIAL DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING BECOMES A FACTOR.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS IN PASSING SQUALLS WITH SEAS 10 TO 15 FEET. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE FOR THE
WATERS SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
REPEATING...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
COASTAL COUNTIES FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD. ALSO...AN INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE...ORANGE...
SEMINOLE...INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

DWS

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