[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMFL 050942
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-051300-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
541 AM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004

...SOUTH EYE WALL AFFECTING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND METRO PALM BEACH...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PERSONS IN PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE...
COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES COUNTY.

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL SOUTH FLORIDA COUNTIES.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PALM BEACH COUNTY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN PALM BEACH...
GLADES...AND HENDRY COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR METRO BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COAST FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN MIAMI-DADE
AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES.

URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR METRO PALM BEACH UNTIL MID MORNING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS OVER THE NORTH PART OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH. THE CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE NORTH END OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND NORTHEAST GLADES
COUNTY TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...BUT
FRANCES SHOULD BE WEAKENING SOME TODAY SINCE THE CENTER IS NOW OVER LAND.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF HURRICANE FORCE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PALM
BEACH COUNTY AND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION THROUGH MID MORNING HOURS.
PERSONS IN METRO PALM BEACH AND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION SHOULD REMAIN
SAFELY INDOORS AS THE HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUE. THE WIND WILL
BEGIN TO BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND FINALLY THE SOUTH ACROSS METRO PALM BEACH
THROUGH MID MORNING. WINDS ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE WILL BACK FROM THE WEST TO
THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS BEING AFFECTED BY STRONG TROPICAL STORMS FORCE WINDS
WITH FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS. THE HIGHEST LEVEL SO FAR
AT BELLE GLADE HAS BEEN 19.2 FEET AT AROUND 2 AM...WHILE LEVELS ON
THE NORTH END OF THE LAKE DROPPED AS LOW AS 9 FEET. AS FRANCES MOVES
WEST AND NORTHWEST...WINDS WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND PUSH WATER
TOWARD THE EAST COAST FROM SOUTH BAY TO PAHOKEE TO TAYLOR SLOUGH. MAXIMUM WATER
LEVELS ON THE EAST SIDE OF HOOVER DIKE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 17 TO 18 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ULTIMATELY...THE WIND WILL BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTH
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...PUSHING WATER UP AS HIGH AS 18 TO 19 FEET ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL THERE MONDAY MORNING. THE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTS INHABITED AREAS TO
AT LEAST 30 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. RITTA...KREAMER AND TORRY ISLANDS ARE
PARTIALLY FLOODED AT THESE LEVELS INCLUDING SOME CAMPGROUNDS AND ROADS. ROADS
AND LAKESIDE FACILITIES IN THE PAHOKEE AREA WILL PARTIALLY FLOOD AT THESE
FORECAST LEVELS TODAY...AND SOME CAMPGROUNDS AND TRAILER PARKS ON THE LAKESIDE
OF THE DIKE WILL FLOOD AT THE FORECAST LEVELS MONDAY MORNING.

FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...MAXIMUM STORM TIDE IS OCCURRING THROUGH MID
MORNING AROUND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ALONG THE TEN THOUSAND ISLANDS OF
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY AND THE CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY AREAS OF COLLIER
COUNTY. THIS WILL LIKELY FLOOD PARTS OF STATE ROAD 29 BETWEEN TAMIAMI TRAIL
AND CHOKOLOSKEE. FROM MARCO ISLAND NORTH TO NAPLES AND BONITA BEACH THE MAXIMUM
STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FROM NOW UNTIL
MID MORNING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 5 AM...WINDS WERE AROUND 47 MPH AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WITH
GUSTS REACHING 68 MPH. ACROSS BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES WINDS WERE GUSTING
25 TO 30 MPH OR ABOVE WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. AS THE HURRICANE
MOVES ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BACK
FROM THE WEST TO THE SOUTHWEST AND ULTIMATELY TO THE SOUTH. SPIRAL BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP THEIR WAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TOWARD THE
CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. AS EACH SPIRAL BAND PASSES...WINDS WILL GUST TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG AND SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY AND TO HURRICANE FORCE
NORTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS...SUSTAINED WINDS ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE WERE AROUND
50 KNOTS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 81 KNOTS. AT LAKE WORTH...SUSTAINED WINDS WERE
AROUND 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 74 KNOTS. AT FOWEY ROCKS...SUSTAINED WINDS WERE
AROUND 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 51 KNOTS. WINDS ACROSS THE LAKE AND THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS ARE PEAKING NOW THROUGH MID MORNING. FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE
GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE THROUGH LATE MORNING. OVER THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IN THE PALM
BEACH COASTAL WATERS. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...SUSTAINED 25 TO 30 KNOTS
GUSTING AS HIGH AS 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE DAY...FINALLY BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
THE WINDS ARE FROM THE NORTHWEST WHICH WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS ON THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST THIS MORNING.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE AVERAGED FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS METRO PALM
BEACH COUNTY BUT ALMOST 7 INCHES HAS FALLEN AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT AND ABOUT 6.5 INCHES HAS FALLEN AT AN AUTOMATED RAIN GAGE ABOUT HALFWAY
BETWEEN PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND WELLINGTON. HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY AND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION ASSOCIATED
WITH PARTS OF THE EYE WALL. SPIRAL BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS OVER THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED OVER PALM BEACH COUNTY AND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION TODAY...WITH
AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH AS HIGH AS 8 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS PARTS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AND THE LAKE WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 12 INCHES.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION
TODAY AS FRANCES MOVES NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. SPIRAL BANDS
WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY...AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THOSE SPIRAL BANDS AS WELL.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE FRANCES LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830
AM.

$$

PFOST/SANTOS

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