[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMLB 050048
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
050330-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
848 PM EDT SAT SEP 4 2004

...DESTRUCTIVE EYEWALL OF FRANCES MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD THE SAINT
LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTY COAST...

...HURRICANE WARNING FROM SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FLORIDA CITY
WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 8 AM...

...FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...

...FLOOD WARNING FOR INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN...ST. LUCIE...LAKE...
VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...BREVARD...ORANGE...AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES...


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THROUGH 10 PM...RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPIRAL ONSHORE INTO EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS EVENING AROUND THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES
WHICH WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE MARTIN COUNTY COAST.

RAINBANDS FROM EXTREME SOUTHERN BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER AND INTO
OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
REACHING NEAR HURRICANE FORCE BY THE LATE EVENING AS HURRICANE
FRANCES APPROACHES THE COAST.

ACROSS VOLUSIA...NORTHERN BREVARD...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...AND LAKE
COUNTIES...WINDS WILL GUST TO HURRICANE FORCE IN RAINBANDS THROUGH
THE LATE EVENING. THE THREAT FOR DEADLY TORNADOES IS ALSO INCREASING
WITH DISCRETE CELLS MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS FRANCES MAKING LANDFALL AROUND THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS WOULD PRODUCE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES
OF SEVEN OR EIGHT FEET MAINLY NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL...MOST LIKELY BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES. NORTH OF
CAPE CANAVERAL...A SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET IS LIKELY. BATTERING WAVES OF
VERY LONG DURATION WILL BE OF GREAT CONCERN ALONG THE BEACHES.
SIGNIFICANT WIND AND WAVE DAMAGE IS LIKELY IN THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN...ST.
LUCIE...LAKE...VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...BREVARD...ORANGE...AND
OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY.

CONTINUOUS RAINFALL RATES OF BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH PER HOUR
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...SO AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WARNING
IS LIKELY TO BE EXTENDED.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.4 WEST OR ABOUT  50 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF PALM BEACH FLORIDA.

FRANCES HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 5 MPH.  A
SLOW WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE STRONGEST WINDS SURROUNDING THE LARGE EYE OF
FRANCES SHOULD REACH THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.
WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE WILL CAUSE DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES...TOPPLE
TREES AND POWER POLES AND CAUSE FLYING DEBRIS TO BREAK WINDOWS AND
GLASS DOORS...MAINLY ALONG THE MARTIN...ST. LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES.  REMAIN INDOORS IN A STURDY ROOM...AWAY FROM EXPOSED
WINDOWS OR DOORS. THE EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE OF STRUCTURES WILL TAKE
THE BRUNT OF THE WINDS. TORNADOES WILL POSE AN ADDITIONAL THREAT
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STAY SAFELY INSIDE IN A CENTRAL LOCATION WITHIN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
IT IS UNWISE TO VENTURE OUTSIDE TONIGHT. STAY INDOORS. THIS IS A
CRITICALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS...INTERSECTIONS
...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AS WELL AS FLOODING OF RURAL
ROADS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTH TO
FLORIDA CITY...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COASTAL COUNTIES...AND ALSO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN INLAND HURRICANE
WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...LAKE
...INLAND VOLUSIA AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES.  A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.  A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 8 AM.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THROUGH MIDNIGHT THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT WILL BE FROM A
BAND OF SHOWERS MOVING ON SHORE BETWEEN SCOTTSMORE AND COCOA BEACH
IN NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY.  THIS INCLUDES CAPE KENNEDY AND
TITUSVILLE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM
OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

DECKER

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