[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMLB 042100
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
042300-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 4 2004

...STRONG OUTER RAINBANDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH POUNDING
COASTAL INDIAN RIVER ST. LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES...


...FLOOD WARNING FOR INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN...ST. LUCIE COUNTIES...

...HURRICANE WARNING FROM SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FLORIDA CITY
WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FRANCES IS NEARLY STATIONARY 50 MILES EAST OF PALM
BEACH. GUSTS 70 TO 100 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED OVER INDIAN RIVER...ST.
LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES.  TREES DOWN...SEVERE DAMAGE TO MOBILE
HOMES...ROOFS OFF LARGE BUILDINGS...INCLUDING CAR DEALERSHIPS AND
DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES.

THIS EVENING STRONG RAINBANDS WILL MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHERN
BREVARD COUNTY NEAR MELBOURNE BEACH TO PALM BAY TO BLUE CYPRESS LAKE
AND FORT DRUM. THESE BANDS MAY PRODUCE STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS
WITH GUSTS TO 65 TO 75 MPH. MANY REPORTS OF TREES BEING UPROOTED AND
SIGNS BEING BLOWN DOWN HAVE ALSO BEEN RECEIVED. POWER POLES ALONG
STATE ROUTE A-1-A NEAR SOUTH PATRICK HOUSING HAVE TOPPLED OR WERE
LEANING HEAVILY. DAMAGE TO WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS HAVE BEEN REPORTED
SO FAR TO A FEW COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS ALONG A-1-A IN IN SATELLITE
BEACH AND INDIAN HARBOR BEACH.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE MODELS USING THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST INDICATE
THAT FRANCES WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL DURING THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT BETWEEN JUPITER INLET AND CAPE
CANAVERAL. THIS WOULD PRODUCE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES OF SEVEN OR
EIGHT FEET NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL...MOST LIKELY BREVARD AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES. NORTH OF
CAPE CANAVERAL...A SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET IS LIKELY. BATTERING WAVES OF
VERY LONG DURATION WILL BE OF GREAT CONCERN ALONG THE BEACHES.
SIGNIFICANT WIND AND WAVE DAMAGE IS LIKELY IN THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INDIAN RIVER...ST LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH TONIGHT.   A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY.

CONTINUOUS RAINFALL RATES OF BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH PER HOUR
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...SO AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THIS WARNING
IS LIKELY TO BE EXTENDED.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF PALM BEACH FLORIDA.

FRANCES HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT
THE HURRICANE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE BETWEEN THE WEST AND
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE STRONGEST WINDS
SURROUNDING THE LARGE EYE OF FRANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS WILL BE A LONG DURATION WIND AND RAIN EVENT. DO NOT GET CAUGHT
TRYING TO DO THINGS OUTDOORS IN BETWEEN RAINBANDS...STAY PUT IN
SHELTER.  AS FRANCES MAKES LANDFALL THIS EVENING PEOPLE IN
AND CLOSE TO THE CORE OF MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IN A SMALL
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR SUCH AS A CLOSET OR BATHROOM. PUT AS MANY
WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE HURRICANE WINDS AS POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. KEEP A BATTERY OPERATED NOAA WEATHER RADIO WITH YOU OR AM FM
RADIO TO RECEIVE UPDATES AND WARNINGS. TORNADO WARNINGS WILL BE
ISSUED IF A HIGH THREAT OF TORNADOES OR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH
HURRICANE RAINBANDS ARE FORECAST USING DOPPLER RADAR.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS...INTERSECTIONS
...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AS WELL AS FLOODING OF RURAL
ROADS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTH TO
FLORIDA CITY...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
COASTAL COUNTIES...AND ALSO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN INLAND HURRICANE
WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...ORANGE...LAKE
...INLAND VOLUSIA AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES.  A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR INDIAN RIVER...ST LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH
TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH IS UP FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER OUTER
RAINBANDS AND THE THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE INNER RAINBANDS OF
FRANCES MOVE IN LATER TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 7 PM
OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

DECKER

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