[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT71 KNHC 032039
SPFAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON SEP  6 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.4N  80.0W      49  X  X  X 49   FT MYERS FL       18  3  X  1 22
28.0N  81.5W      27  5  X  X 32   VENICE FL         11  9  1  1 22
28.5N  82.5W       6 18  1  1 26   TAMPA FL           9 15  1  1 26
MYNN 251N 775W    99  X  X  X 99   CEDAR KEY FL       1 18  2  2 23
MYGF 266N 787W    70  X  X  X 70   ST MARKS FL        X  4  9  5 18
MARATHON FL        2  1  X  1  4   APALACHICOLA FL    X  3  9  5 17
ON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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