[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMFL 030618
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>068-070>074-031000-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
210 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2004

...OUTERMOST RAINBAND APPROACHING SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ON FRIDAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PERSONS IN PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-
DADE...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...INCLUDING METRO PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
AT LEAST 24 HOURS FOR PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND SOUTH FLORIDA
COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS
OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF HURRICANE FORCE..74 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN AT
LEAST 24 HOURS OVER INLAND SECTIONS.

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL SOUTH FLORIDA COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY
EXCEPT COASTAL COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE FLOODING IN THE AFFECTED AREA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 305
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH...OR ABOUT 295 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE...OR ABOUT 290 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST
OF MIAMI BEACH. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9
MPH AND A NORTHWEST TO WEST NORTHWEST MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FRANCES REMAINS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 120
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MIAMI-DADE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS DIRECTED AN EVACUATION FOR
RESIDENTS IN EVACUATION ZONES A AND B...INCLUDING BARRIER ISLANDS...
MOBILE HOMES...KEY BISCAYNE...MIAMI BEACH AND ALL LOW LYING AREAS AND
COASTAL AREAS EAST OF U.S. 1. EVACUATION CENTERS IN MIAMI-DADE ARE
OPEN.

PALM BEACH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY EVACUATION
FOR ALL PERSONS IN AREAS A AND B...INCLUDING MOBILE HOMES AND BARRIER
ISLANDS AND THE LAKE SIDE OF THE HOOVER DIKE. PALM BEACH SHELTERS ARE
OPEN.

BROWARD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY
EVACUATION FOR PERSONS LIVING ON BARRIER ISLANDS AND ALL MOBILE
HOMES. BROWARD SHELTERS ARE OPEN BUT EVACUEES ARE URGED TO STAY WITH
FRIENDS OR RELATIVES.

GLADES COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A MANDATORY EVACUATION
OF PEOPLE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHEAST
PORTION OF THE COUNTY. SHELTERS ARE OPEN.

HENDRY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL LOCK DOWN THE FORT DENAUD
BRIDGE ONCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REACH THE AREA EARLY IN
THE WEEKEND. HENDRY COUNTY SHELTERS ARE OPEN FOR VOLUNTARY
EVACUATION.

COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS CLOSED SCHOOLS AND WILL OPEN
SHELTERS AT 6 PM ON FRIDAY.

ALL SCHOOLS IN SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE CLOSED FRIDAY. CALL YOUR LOCAL
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HOTLINE NUMBERS AVAILABLE ON COMMERCIAL
TELEVISION AND RADIO FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
MAXIMUM STORM TIDES OF 7 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WILL OCCUR
JUST NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. LANDFALL IS
POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...AND THEREFORE
ACTUAL STORM SURGE WILL DEPEND ENTIRELY UPON WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES
THE COAST AND WHEN. THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK PLACES AREAS
IN NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY AT GREATEST RISK FROM STORM TIDE...
INCLUDING JUPITER INLET...THE LOWER PART OF THE LOXAHATCHEE RIVER...
PARTS OF TEQUESTA...AND JUPITER INLET COLONY.

FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE LAKE LEVEL THURSDAY WAS 13.6 FEET ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL WHICH IS BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
UNDER THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE WATER WOULD BE PUSHED UP AS
MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET HIGHER ON THE LAKE SIDE OF THE DIKE IN GLADES...
HENDRY...AND WESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTIES FROM THE MOUTH OF FISHEATING
CREEK ALL THE WAY AROUND TO PORT MAYACA INCLUDING MOORE HAVEN...
CLEWISTON...SOUTH BAY...BELLE GLADE AND PAHOKEE. THE MAXIMUM STORM
TIDE INSIDE HOOVER DIKE WOULD THEREFORE BE ABOUT 24 FEET ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL ON THE WEST AND SOUTH SIDES OF THE LAKE AND AS HIGH AS 20
FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ON THE EAST SIDE. THE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTS
INHABITED AREAS TO AT LEAST 30 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. RITTA...
KREAMER AND TORRY ISLANDS WOULD BE FLOODED AT THESE LEVELS INCLUDING
SOME CAMPGROUNDS AND ROADS. IT MUST BE EMPHASIZED THAT THE EXACT
IMPACT ON THE LAKE STILL DEPENDS ON HOW CLOSE AND FROM WHAT DIRECTION
FRANCES APPROACHES THE LAKE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WOULD BEGIN INCREASING ON
FRIDAY WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARRIVING ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WOULD AFFECT
MAINLY THE PALM BEACH METRO AREAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS
POSSIBLE ACROSS METRO BROWARD BEGINNING SATURDAY MORNING AND LASTING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ACROSS SOUTH BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD ARRIVE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND LAST
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WOULD BE A VERY LONG TIME FOR SUCH STRONG
WINDS...WHICH MEANS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING
DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO WEAKER STRUCTURES
LIKE GAS STATION ROOFS PARTICULARLY IN AREAS WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS. WINDS OVER INLAND SECTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL INCREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY SATURDAY MORNING AND LAST WELL INTO
LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. HOWEVER...IT IS IMPORTANT TO
EMPHASIZE THAT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK THESE
IMPACT WINDS AND GENERAL LOCATIONS AND TIMINGS COULD CHANGE ONE WAY
OR THE OTHER DEPENDING ON WHERE THE STORM ENDS UP HAVING A DIRECT
IMPACT.

BE SURE TO STORE ALL LAWN FURNITURE AND SECURE SWING SETS AND LOOSE
YARD ITEMS. REMOVE COCONUTS FROM PALM TREES BECAUSE THEY CAN BECOME
DEADLY MISSILES IN HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST BEGINNING TONIGHT. SEA CONDITIONS
WILL FURTHER DETERIORATE FRIDAY AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS LATE
FRIDAY LASTING WELL INTO SATURDAY. ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE...WINDS WILL
REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND LIKELY BE
HURRICANE FORCE WIND OR WIND GUSTS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR BOATS IN SAFE HARBOR
ALLOWING EXTRA LINE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF STORM SURGE LEVELS OR DRY
DOCK AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK OF FRANCES...AND SHOULD THE TRACK BE SHIFTED ONE
WAY OR THE OTHER...THE MARINE IMPACT WOULD CHANGE GREATLY.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
SQUALLS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST SOMETIME
ON FRIDAY AND THEN INCREASE IN FREQUENCY AND DURATION AS WE HEAD
INTO LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. FORECAST STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUNDAY IN PALM BEACH COUNTY ARE EXPECTED TO
BE FROM 8 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS CLOSER TO WHERE FRANCES CROSSES THE
COASTLINE. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS OF
6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FRANCES. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA EXCEPT COASTAL
COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A THREAT OF TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF FRANCES. THE
THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BE GREATEST BEGINNING FRIDAY AND LASTING
THROUGHOUT SATURDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED HURRICANE FRANCES LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

SANTOS

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