[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT31 KNHC 020844
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER  34...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 02 2004

...CORRECT SPELLING OF DANGEROUS IN HEADLINE...

...DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR FRANCES CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH THE BAHAMAS...FLORIDA HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDED SOUTHWARD...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE BAHAMAS AND
FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TO CRAIG KEY.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM CRAIG KEY NORTHWARD
TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY
BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF CRAIG KEY SOUTHWARD TO THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.0 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES... 60 KM...NORTH OF MAYAGUANA ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.  THIS IS
ALSO ABOUT 520 MILES...835 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALM BEACH
FLORIDA.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE LARGE CORE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WILL
BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS THIS MORNING...AND
NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FRANCES REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...
235 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  80 MILES...130 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS  936 MB...27.64 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE EYE OF FRANCES ON THE WEST SIDE OF ELEUTHRA ISLAND...AND
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF
4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE
IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES.

SWELLS GENERATED BY FRANCES WILL BE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.  THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...22.9 N... 73.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 936 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN


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