[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT71 KNHC 012052
SPFAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 01 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT SEP  4 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.3N  74.9W      46  X  X  X 46   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X 10  9 19
25.4N  76.7W      16 16  X  X 32   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3 13 16
26.5N  78.5W       X 20  6  1 27   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1 11 12
MUCM 214N 779W     X  1  X  1  2   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  9  9
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  2  3   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  6  6
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  3  4   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3
MBJT 215N 712W    99  X  X  X 99   KEY WEST FL        X  1  5  5 11
MYMM 224N 730W    61  X  X  X 61   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1 10  5 16
MYSM 241N 745W    52  X  X  X 52   FT MYERS FL        X  X 10  7 17
MYEG 235N 758W    32  1  X  X 33   VENICE FL          X  X  7  9 16
MYAK 241N 776W    11 12  X  1 24   TAMPA FL           X  X  7  9 16
MYNN 251N 775W     8 20  X  1 29   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  3 12 15
MYGF 266N 787W     X 18  8  1 27   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 11 11
MARATHON FL        X  2  8  4 14   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  9  9
MIAMI FL           X  6 12  3 21   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  7  7
W PALM BEACH FL    X  6 14  3 23   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3
FT PIERCE FL       X  3 16  4 23   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  9  9
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1 15  5 21   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net