[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 310237
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU SEP  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

41.6N  66.9W      20  8  X  X 28   EASTPORT ME        4  8  X  X 12
44.3N  59.4W       X 11  6  X 17   ST JOHN NB         1 12  X  X 13
48.0N  49.0W       X  X  6  X  6   MONCTON NB         X 11  1  X 12
NORFOLK VA        99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        6 15  X  X 21
OCEAN CITY MD     99  X  X  X 99   HALIFAX NS         X 19  1  X 20
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  58  X  X  X 58   SABLE ISLAND NS    X 13  5  X 18
NEW YORK CITY NY  30  X  X  X 30   SYDNEY NS          X 10  6  X 16
MONTAUK POINT NY  34  X  X  X 34   EDDY POINT NS      X 14  4  X 18
PROVIDENCE RI     24  X  X  X 24   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  5  8  X 13
NANTUCKET MA      33  X  X  X 33   BURGEO NFLD        X  3 10  X 13
HYANNIS MA        28  X  X  X 28   ILE ST PIERRE      X  2 12  X 14
BOSTON MA         16  X  X  X 16   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X 11  X 11
PORTLAND ME        6  1  X  X  7   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  5  X  5
BAR HARBOR ME      6  4  X  X 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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