[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 291427
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED SEP  1 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.9N  78.8W      30  1  1  X 32   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  9 10
37.7N  77.2W       2 16  3  X 21   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  9 10
39.8N  74.0W       X  X 12  2 14   BOSTON MA          X  X  1  9 10
CHARLESTON SC     99  X  X  X 99   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  9  9
MYRTLE BEACH SC   99  X  X  X 99   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  8  8
WILMINGTON NC     33  X  X  1 34   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  7  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC  15  4  1  X 20   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  7  7
CAPE HATTERAS NC   4 10  2  X 16   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  6  6
NORFOLK VA         2 14  4  X 20   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
OCEAN CITY MD      X  5 11  1 17   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  6  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1 13  1 15   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  9  4 13   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  4  7 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  4  4
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  2  9 11   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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