[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 281434
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT AUG 28 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.1N  79.5W      76  X  X  X 76   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  6  7
32.8N  79.8W      43  X  X  X 43   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
33.9N  79.2W      20  2  2  1 25   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  2  X  2  4   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    6  4  1  1 12   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA       26  1  X  X 27   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC     38  1  X  X 39   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  X  2  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC   22  2  1  1 26   ST MARKS FL        X  2  1  2  5
WILMINGTON NC      9  7  2  2 20   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  2  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   2  8  3  4 17   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  2  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  4  5  5 14   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  1  2
NORFOLK VA         X  1  6  7 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  1  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  2  8 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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