[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT71 KNHC 271434
SPFAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 27 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON AUG 30 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.0N  52.1W      50  X  X  X 50   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  3  3
18.0N  53.6W      24  9  1  X 34   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  4  4
18.9N  55.2W       1 20  5  1 27   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  3  3
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  2  2   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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