[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
Nashville EMWIN
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 19 03:34:10 CDT 2004
WTNT74 KNHC 190833
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 19 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST SUN AUG 22 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.1N 36.2W 41 X X X 41 32.9N 33.6W 2 13 3 2 20
32.0N 35.0W 18 4 1 1 24
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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