[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 16 21:34:50 CDT 2004


WTNT74 KNHC 170234
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 16 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  39.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU AUG 19 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.1N  41.0W      37  X  X  X 37   29.5N  41.0W       X  9  5  3 17
27.5N  41.2W       6 14  1  1 22

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN


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WWWW
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