[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
Nashville EMWIN
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 15 09:46:57 CDT 2004
WTNT74 KNHC 151446
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED AUG 18 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.6N 36.6W 48 X X X 48 21.7N 40.0W X 21 4 1 26
19.6N 38.5W 13 21 X X 34
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
$$
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