[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT73 KNHC 140240
SPFAT3
HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON AUG 16 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.3N  77.6W      29  6  X  X 35   HYANNIS MA         X  2  8  2 12
41.1N  74.1W       X 14  3  X 17   BOSTON MA          X  3  8  2 13
44.6N  70.7W       X  1  9  2 12   PORTLAND ME        X  1  9  2 12
FT PIERCE FL      33  X  X  X 33   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  6  5 11
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   EASTPORT ME        X  X  3  7 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X  X  2  7  9
JACKSONVILLE FL   68  X  X  X 68   MONCTON NB         X  X  1  8  9
SAVANNAH GA       54  X  X  X 54   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2  7  9
CHARLESTON SC     59  X  X  X 59   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   51  X  X  X 51   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC     43  X  X  X 43   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  6  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC  31  2  1  X 34   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC  18  8  X  X 26   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  5  5
NORFOLK VA        16 13  X  X 29   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  4  4
OCEAN CITY MD      3 20  X  X 23   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  3  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   1 18  1  X 20   FT MYERS FL        7  X  X  X  7
NEW YORK CITY NY   X 14  3  1 18   VENICE FL         18  X  X  X 18
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  7  6  1 14   TAMPA FL          99  X  X  X 99
PROVIDENCE RI      X  5  7  1 13   CEDAR KEY FL      10  X  X  X 10
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  8  1 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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