[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
Nashville EMWIN
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 13 13:08:32 CDT 2004
WTUS82 KMLB 131808
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
132200-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...MAJOR INLAND HURRICANE WIND EVENT SHAPING UP FOR EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS RAISED FOR PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST FROM
COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH...
WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
UNTIL 2 AM SATURDAY.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 150 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS ABOUT 210 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST
NEAR 18 MPH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY HAS CONTINUED SHIFTING MORE TO THE
RIGHT TODAY AND STRENGTHENING...GREATLY INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS TYPE
OF HURRICANE SCENARIO HAS NOT OCCURRED SINCE HURRICANE DONNA IN
1960. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO OSCEOLA
AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS
THE ORLANDO METRO AREA AND THE REST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
DURING THE NIGHT. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING. RESIDENTS MUST RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS
FOR WINDS FROM CHARLEY. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE INTO
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER WITH FRIENDS OR RELATIVES OR SEEK SAFETY
IN SHELTERS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS OPENED. THIS HAS BECOME
A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. MAKE ANY LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS BUT
BE PREPARED TO SHELTER IN PLACE BY THIS EVENING.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH
AND THEN SOUTHWEST MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL STORM SURGE AND BEACH
EROSION IS EXPECTED FROM CHARLEY PRIMARILY IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 7PM TONIGHT. BY THE
NEXT HIGH TIDE AROUND 7AM SATURDAY THE EFFECTS OF CHARLEY SHOULD BE
RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. AS SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP ALONG PARTS OF THE
COAST THIS EVENING...VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL SET UP WITHIN THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY IN BREVARD COUNTY AND THEN LATER THIS EVENING
IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. THIS COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN LOW AREAS...
SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS. STRONG SOUTH
WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE COULD BRING A SMALL SURGE TO
SOUTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY...POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE OKEE TANTIE
CAMPGROUND WHICH HAS BEEN EVACUATED.
...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF
RAIN IN SPOTS AS CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND
INTO SATURDAY. PLACES ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL
BE MOST VULNERABLE TO SERIOUS FLOODING. IMPORTANTLY...LOCATIONS
CLOSEST TO THE CENTER TRACK OF CHARLEY STAND TO RECEIVE THE MOST
RAIN.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE PENINSULA
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL
THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC
WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD SHORE.
...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH IS THE MOST
FAVORABLE AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. A TORNADO WATCH IS OUT FROM
BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES SOUTHWARD AND WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. AN OUTBREAK OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES
IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL
INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF OUTER
RAINBANDS WILL MOVE INTO OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON INCREASING THE TORNADO THREAT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB
$$
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