[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 13 10:37:13 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KMLB 131536
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
132030-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY HEADING TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
FROM COCOA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM COCOA
BEACH SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN
AND OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD WHICH INCLUDES NORTH BREVARD AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTH...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
IN EFFECT AND INCLUDES SOUTH BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...
AND MARTIN COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE...
SEMINOLE...ORANGE...WESTERN VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...SOUTHERN BREVARD...
SOUTHERN OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN AND ST LUCIE
COUNTIES UNTIL 5PM.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS ABOUT 145 MILES
SOUTH OF SARASOTA FLORIDA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO
THE RIGHT SINCE THIS MORNING AND THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
HOW SOON CHARLEY WILL SHIFT A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE RIGHT LATER
TODAY. THE BOTTOM LINE IS CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE ON THE RIGHT SIDE
OF CHARLEY WHERE THE MAJORITY OF HIGH WINDS...RAINBANDS WITH
TORNADOES AND HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR. BECAUSE OF THE TRACK UNCERTAINTY
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE ALL
INLAND COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA SHOULD KEEP INFORMED THROUGHOUT THE DAY REGARDING THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ESPECIALLY IN LAKE...WESTERN
VOLUSIA...WESTERN OSCEOLA...ORANGE AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES. CONSIDER
TAKING ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. BE SURE TO FASTEN DOWN OR REMOVE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT ARE
OUTSIDE. SECURE GARAGE DOORS...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT FACE INTO THE
WIND. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME CONSIDER STAYING WITH FRIENDS OR
RELATIVES IN A SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE
FORECAST AREA FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. PEAK WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY IN LAKE...WESTERN ORANGE...
SEMINOLE...AND WESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES. SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE
COASTAL COUNTIES OF MARTIN...ST LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER AND
SOUTHERN BREVARD ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH...BUT SOME GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLY
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
WILL COME LATE TONIGHT. ALSO...RAINBANDS AROUND CHARLEY MAY PRODUCE
GUSTS TO 75 MPH. LARGE TREES AND SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN CAUSING
POWER OUTAGES. SOME WIND DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES IF
UNANCHORED. PERSONS LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES SHOULD CONSIDER MOVING TO
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH
AND THEN SOUTHWEST MINOR COASTAL STORM SURGE AND BEACH EROSION
IS EXPECTED FROM CHARLEY PRIMARILY IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 7PM TONIGHT. BY THE NEXT
HIGH TIDE AROUND 7AM SATURDAY THE EFFECTS OF CHARLEY SHOULD BE
RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. AS SOUTHERLY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
DEVELOP ALONG PARTS OF THE COAST THIS EVENING...VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS
WILL SET UP WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY IN BREVARD COUNTY AND
THEN LATER THIS EVENING IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME
MINOR FLOODING IN LOW AREAS...MINOR SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO
BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKE
OKEECHOBEE COULD BRING A SMALL SURGE TO SOUTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY...
POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE OKEE TANTIE CAMPGROUND WHICH HAS BEEN
EVACUATED.


...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF
RAIN IN SPOTS AS CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND
INTO SATURDAY. PLACES ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL
BE MOST VULNERABLE TO SERIOUS FLOODING. IMPORTANTLY...LOCATIONS
CLOSEST TO THE CENTER TRACK OF CHARLEY STAND TO RECEIVE THE MOST
RAIN.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE PENINSULA
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL
THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC
WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD SHORE.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS OUT FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES
SOUTHWARD. THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH
IS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. THE TORNADO
THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF
OUTER RAINBANDS WILL MOVE INTO OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING THE TORNADO THREAT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 PM OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

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