[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 130900
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-131200-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY ENTERS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...

...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE KEYS NORTHWARD
TO STEINHATCHEE ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
FROM COCOA BEACH TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALTAMAHA SOUND NORTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...
CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...MARION...
NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION AND THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...
JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...WAYNE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...BAKER...
BRADFORD...CLAY...GILCHRIST...MARION...PUTNAM...AND UNION COUNTIES. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA EAST
COAST...INCLUDING CAMDEN...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GLYNN...NASSAU AND ST
JOHNS COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...COLUMBIA...HAMILTON...
SUWANNEE AND ALSO FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...
COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...AND WAYNE. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135
KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGHTENING IS POSSIBLE AND
CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO COUNT ON THE EXACT LOCAL EFFECTS FROM
HURRICANE CHARLEY. ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT 24 HOURS ARE NEAR
80 MILES. INTERESTS IN THE REGION...INCLUDING INLAND AREAS...SHOULD
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE CURRENT PROGRESS OF HURRICANE
CHARLEY TODAY AS IT WILL BE MOVING FAST.  IT IS PROBABLE THAT
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER SOME PORTIONS OF THE AREA
FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.  EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME
PORTION OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. INTERESTS IN THE
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA SHOULD HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...
BATTERIES AND A BATTERY OPERATED RADIO IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGE. NEVER
USE CANDLES DUE TO THE HIGH RISK OF FIRE. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE A
FULLY STOCKED HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS KIT IN PLACE. A SUPPLY OF
DRINKING WATER...BABY SUPPLIES AND ANY PRESCRIPTION MEDICATIONS ARE
THE HIGHEST PRIORITIES FOR YOUR KIT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST INITIALLY.  AS CHARLEY APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST WINDS ALONG THE FIRST COAST WILL SHIFT TO EASTERLY
AND NORTHEASTERLY BY TOMORROW EVENING. THEREFORE MINOR TIDAL SURGE
FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST SIMILAR TO
A LOCAL NOREASTER...PEAKING ABOUT 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE REGION AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST RISK OF SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE OVER ALACHUA...MARION...GILCHRIST...
PUTNAM...CLAY...BRADFORD...BAKER AND UNION COUNTIES.
HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION IN THE STORM TRACK...INTENSITY OR
FORWARD MOTION...COULD BRING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO OTHER PORTIONS
OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. INTERESTS IN NORTH FLORIDA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE URGED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS RELATIVE TO HURRICANE CHARLEY.
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME
PORTION OR ALL OF THE WATCH AREA TODAY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO
REMAIN IN PORT.  CONFUSED HIGH SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  ANY PERSONS WHO ARE NOT
EXPERT SWIMMERS ARE ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE SURF TODAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT IN
THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS
TODAY. AS THE HURRICANE MOVES NORTH..ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AS
HURRICANE CHARLEY TRANSITS THE REGION BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RIVER
LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY LOW AND...AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT RIVER
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE AND
INTERESTS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR THIS
POSSIBILITY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY. AREAS OF THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE SUWANNEE VALLEY ARE NEAR SATURATION AND MAY EXPERIENCE
LOCALIZED SURFACE FLOODING PRIOR TO HURRICANE LANDFALL.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A POSSIBLE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS TROPICAL MOISTURE...A FRONTAL SYSTEM...AND APPROACHING
HURRICANE CHARLEY ALL INTERACT ACROSS THE REGION. TORNADOES CAN AND
DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING...REMAIN ALERT FOR DETERIORATING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 0800 AM EDT OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON HURRICANE CHARLEY AND LOCAL CONDITIONS IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

$$

WELSH

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