[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KMLB 130400
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
131000-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1155 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AND HEADS FOR FLORIDA WEST COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM
JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...ST. LUCIE...MARTIN AND
OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTIN...ST. LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR LAKE COUNTY FRIDAY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR SEMINOLE...ORANGE...OSCEOLA...AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES
FRIDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.4 WEST OR BETWEEN THE ISLE OF
YOUTH AND THE CUBAN MAINLAND 55 MILES SOUTH OF HAVANA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED FRIDAY. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE
CENTER OF CHARLEY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY AND
TOWARD THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FRIDAY EVENING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY. AS WITH ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK.  A
SMALL DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE STORM TRACK WOULD BRING MUCH
STRONGER WINDS INTO THE ORLANDO METROPOLITAN AREA AND SEMINOLE AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR HIGH WINDS ESPECIALLY
WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE ORLANDO METROPOLITAN AREA. CONSIDER TAKING
PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES AT THIS TIME INCLUDING APPLYING PROTECTIVE
COVERING ON WINDOWS AND CHECKING THE SECURITY OF DOORS AND GARAGES.
FASTEN DOWN ANY LOOSE DOORS AND WINDOWS AND MOVE INDOORS ANY OTHER
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT CAN BE CARRIED AWAY BY THE WIND. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST EARLY FRIDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH LAKE...OKEECHOBEE...WESTERN MARTIN AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES BY
LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY...AND THEN SPREAD INTO OSCEOLA...ORANGE...
SEMINOLE...BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES BY EVENING. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PASS OVER LAKE COUNTY BEGINNING
LATE FRIDAY EVENING. RAINBANDS AROUND CHARLEY MAY PRODUCE WINDS GUSTS
TO 75 MPH MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM ORLANDO TO DAYTONA BEACH.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH
AND THEN SOUTHWEST...NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH
CHARLEY. BUT AS SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DEVELOP ALONG
THE COAST VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL SET UP ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING IN LOW AREAS AND
DAMAGE TO BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS BLOWING ACROSS
LAKE OKEECHOBEE COULD BRING A SMALL SURGE TO SOUTHERN OKEECHOBEE
COUNTY...POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE OKA TANNIE CAMPGROUND. LATER
STATEMENTS WILL REFINE THE EXPECTED IMPACT.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THERE
IS A POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE AREA AS
CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. AREAS WITH
SATURATED GROUNDS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE
TO SERIOUS FLOODING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE COAST BEGINNING LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE AN
ADDITIONAL THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS
THEY MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD SHORE.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH IS THE MOST
FAVORABLE AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA UNTIL 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING AND COULD BE REISSUED FOR
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE
TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING AS THE FIRST OUTER
RAINBANDS FROM HURRICANE CHARLEY MOVE NORTH INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$
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