[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KEYW 130050
HLSEYW
FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-130400-

HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
900 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004


...SEEK SECURE SHELTER FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW IMMEDIATELY...

...ALL HURRICANE PREPARATIONS AND EVACUATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED...

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO BEYOND
THE DRY TORTUGAS...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED.
STORM IMPACTS UPDATED.
EVACUATION INFORMATION REMOVED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ANY NOTICES FROM LOCAL
AUTHORITIES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE AFFECTS
OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS IN MONROE
COUNTY...FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO BEYOND DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS IN MONROE
COUNTY FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER AND STORM SURGE...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH AND STORM SURGE...ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION....
AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH
OF KEY WEST. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 17
MPH...AND A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CHARLEY
COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
EXPECTED...BEGINNING DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS ON FRIDAY. THE
GREATEST THREAT OF STORM SURGE WILL BE IN THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY
WEST. ALSO...DAMAGING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN ADDITION TO THE STORM
SURGE. AS HURRICANE CHARLEY IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO PASS JUST WEST
OF THE LOWER KEYS...THE GREATEST THREAT OF STORM SURGE WILL BE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN...ATLANTIC SHORES OF THE KEYS...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER
KEYS AND KEY WEST. THE NEXT ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 951
PM THIS EVENING...AND 842 AM FRIDAY MORNING AT KEY WEST HARBOR. HIGH
TIDES AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON WILL BE AT 840 PM THIS EVENING...AND
731 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
HURRICANE CHARLEY...WHICH IS HIGHLY FAVORED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
INDUCED TORNADOES. SUBSEQUENTLY...THERE IS A RISK FOR TORNADOES IN
THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF CHARLEY WHICH SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING THE
FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE RAPIDLY AS THE STORM APPROACHES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING FRIDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD NOT LEAVE PORT. RAINBANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY HAVE ALREADY ENTERED THE FLORIDA
STRAITS...AND CONDITIONS OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND KEYS ISLAND
CHAIN WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY THIS EVENING.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACT...
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY
LATE THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ACROSS THE LOWER
KEYS AND KEY WEST. ESPECIALLY IF STORM SURGE FLOODING PREVENTS
RAINWATER DRAINAGE.

...STRIKE PROBABILITIES...
THE CHANCE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PASS WITHIN 75
MILES OF KEY WEST IS CURRENTLY 65 PERCENT...AND 40 PERCENT FOR
MARATHON.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT MIDNIGHT.
$$

DEVANAS























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