[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 122050
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130300-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
445 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY INTENSIFYING SOUTH OF CUBA...

...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET FLORIDA NORTH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...
CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...MARION...
NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION AND THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...
JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...WAYNE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM JUPITER INLET NORTH TO FERNANDINA BEACH INCLUDING CAMDEN...
DUVAL...FLAGLER...GLYNN...NASSAU AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES. AN INLAND
HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...MARION AND GILCHRIST
COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
COLUMBIA...HAMILTON...NASSAU...PUTNAM...SUWANNEE...UNION AND ALSO
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...
ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...
ECHOLS...GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...WAYNE. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH 900 PM THURSDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.9 WEST OR ABOUT  140
MILES... 230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA. THIS POSITION IS
ALSO ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...CHARLEY IS EXPECTED TO
PASS NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH TONIGHT AND NEAR HAVANA CUBA FRIDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES CHARLEY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CHARLEY COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON EXACT LOCAL EFFECTS FROM
CHARLEY. ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT 36 HOURS ARE NEAR 125 MILES.
INTERESTS IN THE REGION...INCLUDING INTERIOR AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.  IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVER SOME PORTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME
PORTION OF THE AREA. INTERESTS IN THE NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AREA SHOULD HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES AND A BATTERY
OPERATED RADIO IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGE. NEVER USE CANDLES DUE TO THE
HIGH RISK OF FIRE. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE A FULLY STOCKED HURRICANE
PREPAREDNESS KIT IN PLACE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OR BLOWING OFFSHORE.  THEREFORE ONLY MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST 1 TO 2
FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM AND POSSIBLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE WATCH AREA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY
EVENING. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST RISK OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL BE OVER ALACHUA...MARION AND GILCHRIST COUNTIES...
HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION IN THE STORM TRACK...INTENSITY OR
FORWARD MOTION COULD BRING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO OTHER PORTIONS OF
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. INTERESTS IN NORTH FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE URGED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS RELATIVE TO HURRICANE CHARLEY.
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME PORTION OR ALL OF THE
WATCH AREA ON FRIDAY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO
REMAIN IN PORT.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND INTO
TOMORROW ASSOCIATED WITH MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM BONNIE.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AS CHARLEY MOVES OVER THE
REGION. RIVER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY LOW AND...AT THIS TIME...NO
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED. FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS IS POSSIBLE AND INTERESTS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE ADVISED TO
PREPARE FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...TORNADO IMPACTS
THERE WILL BE A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
AS MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM BONNIE...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
AND APPROACHING HURRICANE CHARLEY ALL INTERACT ACROSS THE REGION.
TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING...REMAIN ALERT
FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 1100 PM EST OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON HURRICANE CHARLEY.

$$

SANDRIK/KEEGAN

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